Friday, November 1

Democrats reinforce campaign in the face of negative projections towards Congress

The Democrats are throwing all the meat on the grill to the campaigns, as the saying goes, amid polls that indicate that they could lose the majority in Congress.

Last week, the Senate Majority Leader himself, Chuck Schumer (New York), acknowledged that there was “danger” in Georgia, that gave the majority to the Democrats in 2020, but now it could be the entity that snatches them away, given the advance of Republican Herschel Walker against Raphael Warnock.

Schumer was caught speaking “shortly” with the president Joe Biden and the governor of New York, Kathy Hochul, where he recognized Warnock’s disadvantage.

“The state in which we are downhill is Georgia. It’s hard to believe they’ll go with Herschel Walker,” he said.

Warnock leads Republican Walker by just three percentage points, according to a Monday poll from The New York Times-Siena College. That is to say, there is a kind of technical tie, since the figure is similar to the margin of error of the polls.

On the other hand, in an interview with this newspaper, the representative Raúl Ruiz, president of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, recognized that in Nevada there was a challenge with Senator Catherine Cortez-Masto, whom the BOLD PAC was especially supporting.

The recent CBS News poll shows that Cortez-Masto is also in a tie with Republican Adam Laxalt with 47% and 50% of voting intention, respectively.

Obama to the rescue

Former President Barack Obama joined the Democrats’ campaigns last week. On 27 October, specifically, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) released a new ad where the exmandatario asks the residents of Pennsylvania to vote.

“In Pennsylvania, you have to make some important decisions this year,” he says. “So now that the fate of our democracy and a woman’s right to choose are at stake, vote Democrat on November 8.”

Obama has also been at rallies in Georgia and Michigan, as well as Pennsylvania.

On Saturday, in Michigan, the former president was interrupted by a protester, while speaking about the attack against Paul Pelosi, husband of the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi (California).

Obama responded to who interrupted him from the audience.

“Sir, this is what I mean”, he replied. “Sir… there is a process that we established in our democracy. Right now, I’m talking. You’ll have a chance to talk soon… We don’t have to interrupt each other. We don’t have to yell at each other.”

Bernie Sanders on tour

The campaign office of the Senator Bernie Sanders (Vermont), who is an independent but votes in Congress with the Democrats, confirmed that he would be touring Oregon, California, Nevada, Texas, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania .

Senator Sanders’ tour will conclude the weekend before the election, which is expected to include public events.

Senator Sanders is one of the politicians most popular in the country. The 94% of the population has heard of him, as well as having a 46% acceptance, which is higher (53%) among younger voters, according to data from YouGov.

Sanders, who is chairman of the Senate Budget Committee, has warned Democrats that they should focus their message on the economy, rather than abortion.

The 80% percent of Latino voters, for example, have highlighted that inflation and the cost of living is their main concern and a decisive element for the election on November 8, according to the Pew Research Center.

Biden and Harris call for a vote

President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are also sending messages for voters to favor the Democrats.

However, it is not clear how this call will impact the process, given the popularity of both and the negative message that they voted for. before in general they express with respect to the economy and direction of the country.

Upon arriving at the White House, President Biden had 53% approval, which reached its lowest point, at 37%, in July of 2022. Although he has recovered five percentage points, his acceptance is far from the beginning of his Government, indicates data from FiveThirtyeight.

On 27 October, at a Democratic event in Pennsylvania, Vice President Harris defended the achievements of the current administration and the impact they can have on the ballot.

“Everyone here knows Joe Biden, he has always stood up for what we stand for as Democrats: hardworking people, good jobs with fair wages, decency, democracy… And all those issues that I just mentioned that we defend are on the ballot. So we are here to say that we are committed to making every day count,” he said. “We have done this before. We know how to do it. We have done it before”.

FiveThirtyeight projections are not very encouraging for the Democrats: in the Senate there is a technical tie on the majority, that is, 50-50. For the House of Representatives, the Republicans could gain more positions.

2022