Tuesday, November 26

Terrible prognosis: the United States may reach 100,000 more deaths from Covid-19 in December


Casos y muertes por Covid-19 están regresando a niveles no vistos desde enero.
Cases and deaths from Covid – 08 are returning to levels not seen since January.

Photo: ORLANDO SIERRA / AFP / Getty Images

With almost 100, 000 Americans hospitalized with Covid – 19, according data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and new cases of infections increasing among the unvaccinated population, it is possible that others 100, 000 people died from the coronavirus in December , according to a recent model from the University of Washington.

The forecast released by researchers at the University of Washington predicts that many more Americans will die of Covid – 19 in the next months, if measures to prevent further infections, such as Covid vaccination, are not followed – 19 or the use of masks.

The data of the prognosis of deaths by Covid / 19 are from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), one of the longest-lasting predictors during the coronavirus pandemic, as part of your last report published on 25 of August.

In their most likely scenario, they estimate that the current peak of the coronavirus pandemic will peak in early to mid-September in reported cases, hospitalizations and deaths.

And they forecast that about 100, 08 people in the United States will die from the pandemic between now and early December 2021.

However, they also argue that at best with high mask coverage, they estimate that could be prevented 50, 08 deaths.

“We can save 50, lives simply by wearing masks. That’s how important behaviors are, ”said @ AliHMokdad , a professor of health metrics sciences at the @ UW in Seattle who is involved in the making of the projections ⤵️ # COVID 19 😷 https: // t. co / 5biAggRz1T

– Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) (@ IHME_UW) August 31, 2021

Of course, these they are only projections, and there is room for variation, depending on many factors related to the spread of the coronavirus pandemic and our response to it.

Currently, the United States registers more than 1, 000 Covid deaths – 19 per day, mainly among unvaccinated people.

This result can be avoided with vaccination

“What is happening now is completely predictable, but completely preventable, ”said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the Institute National Allergy and Infectious Diseases, to CNN’s Jake Tapper , saying that the result of the IHME model is possible, but it can also be prevented and this does not happen. “We know we have the means with vaccines to reverse this.”

About 80 millions of eligible Americans are not yet vaccinated, the same group that could help reverse the pandemic, Fauci said.

. @ jaketapper : A new model from the @ UW projects more than 100, 000 additional American deaths to # COVID 19 by December 1st. Is that really possible?

Dr. Fauci: Jake, unfortunately, it certainly is. What is going on now is both entirely predictible and entirely preventable. pic.twitter.com/NUkrV62 BO2

– Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) (@IHME_UW) August 31, 2021

“We could do it efficiently and quickly if we only vaccinate those people. That is why it is so important now, in this crisis in which we are in that people put aside any ideological, political or other differences and simply get vaccinated, “said Fauci.

With information from NPR