Saturday, September 28

Mathematicians tell how many tickets you have to buy to win Powerball or Mega Millions

Avatar of Samuel González

By Samuel Gonzalez

28 Sep 2024, 3:26 PM EDT

Are you a regular Powerball or Mega Millions player? Would you like to know how many tickets you should buy to win the jackpot in the United States? A recent study of Mathematicians at the University of Manchester released the tentative number of tickets that you should have in your hand to aspire to become a millionaire.

The work of mathematicians David Cushing and David Stewart was published in the scientific journal Arxiv. In the paper, the researchers explored how to apply programming principles to calculate the minimum number of tickets needed to match at least two numbers in any drawing.

Cushing and Stewart focused on lotteries that use combinations of six numbers. These games have up to 70 balls available. Through a random combination analysis, they found that Buying at least 27 tickets guarantees matching at least two numbers in some combination. This discovery provides a new perspective on strategy in gambling.

However, it is crucial to note that although 27 tickets ensure a smaller prize, There is no magic formula to guarantee the jackpot. The authors emphasize that the chance of winning the big jackpot remains extremely low. This means that while buying more tickets increases your chances of winning something, it doesn’t ensure you’ll get the biggest prize.

The cost of these 27 tickets amounts to approximately $70 dollars.. This poses a dilemma for players: is it worth the investment if the prize won may not cover the expense? Assessment of this financial risk is essential. The reality is that the probability of making a significant profit remains remote, which must be considered by those who decide to participate.

David Stewart, one of the authors of the study and professor of Pure Mathematics at the University of Manchester, explained to the magazine Phys that the research reveals a “tension” in the selection of numbers. With only 156 combinations on 26 tickets, some numbers do not repeat. Mathematically, this suggests the existence of an independent set of size six. This finding is key within graph theory applied to the lottery game.

Despite the possibility of securing a smaller prize, Researchers warn that opportunities to make a bigger profit are limited. This analysis should not be seen as a foolproof strategy to win big prizes, but rather as an interesting mathematical exercise that shows the complexities of the game.

To carry out this study, the mathematicians used Prolog, a programming language that dates back approximately 50 years. This language is considered one of the first examples of Artificial Intelligence (AI)highlighting the intersection between mathematics and technology.

On the other hand, Language models like ChatGPT and Gemini agree that they cannot predict winning numbers. Both emphasize that giveaways are random events. The best way to participate is to have realistic expectations. They advise choosing random numbers and, if desired, selecting unusual combinations. This, although it does not increase the chances of winning, can help avoid sharing prizes with other players.

Playing the Powerball and Mega Millions lottery can be exciting, but it is essential to remember that the probability of winning is always a challenge. Mathematics helps us understand the game and reinforces that the chances of winning a jackpot are slim. If you want to continue playing using a strategy like these mathematicians, try to do it for fun and excitement, knowing that winning a jackpot requires more luck than anything else.

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