Friday, November 15

DeSantis surpasses Trump in voting intention for the 2024 elections, according to a survey

DeSantis and Trump greet each other at a campaign rally in Pensacola in 2018.
DeSantis and Trump greet each other at a campaign rally in Pensacola in 2018.

Photo: Mark Wallheiser/Getty Images

Maria Ortiz

The ex-president donald trump and the current governor of Florida Ron DeSantis They are almost tied in voting intentions, in case they aspire to the Republican nomination for the 2024 elections, according to a survey published by the University of Massachusetts.

The study reflects that in the event of a one-on-one confrontation, DeSantis, who has not communicated his intention to enter the electoral race, reaches 51% support and surpasses Trump by two percentage points, who registers 49% support.

Former President Trump, who has already announced that he will contend to return to the White House in 2024, obtains a better result when respondents answer about their support in the 2024 presidential elections by several Republican candidates, including, in addition to the two figures The most visible of the party also include former Vice President Mike Pence, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.

In that scenario, Trump leads the table with 37% of voting intention, three percentage points above DeSantis, which is located second in preferences with 34%. Behind them, and far away, Pence appears with 7% support, while the rest do not even reach 3% in this study.

“If the race comes down to the two current favorites (Trump and DeSantis), the election is a statistical dead heat. In the coming year, if the election turns into a two-person race, Republican voters will have to make a difficult choice between two viable and popular candidates,” said Tatishe Nteta, a professor at this university and director of the poll.

The Florida governor, who won re-election by a wide margin last November, is preferred among older, educated, and wealthy men registered as Republicans, according to this study of a thousand people between April 5 and 9. January, with a margin of error of +/- 3.55%.

“These are the people who are most likely to vote, make political contributions and participate in campaigns. If DeSantis can retain these voters, he will be in a pretty formidable position in the Republican Party primary,” said Professor Jesse Rhodes, co-director of the study.

Opinions on the House of Representatives, President McCarthy and the Republican Party

The poll also asked for opinions on the House of Representatives, its Republican Chairman Kevin McCarthy and the Republican Party.

When asked to rate their feelings on a scale from 0 (coldest) to 100 (warmest), respondents still rank Democrats higher than Republicans, 46-40, while the new Speaker of the House, Kevin McCarthy, has an average rating of 37.

More than half of respondents (54%) say that the views and policies of the Republican Party are too extreme, while 55% of respondents say that the views and policies of the Democratic Party are “generally conventional.”

The new survey also asked respondents about their views on what the new Republican-led House of Representatives should prioritize.

While 63% of those polled said the House GOP should engage with House and Senate Democrats and President Biden to pass legislation, 55% believe it should push for bills that reflect the priorities Republicans and an equal percentage want the GOP to investigate Hunter Biden’s business dealings.

Nearly six in 10 (58%) want the Biden administration’s withdrawal from Afghanistan and handling of immigration along the US-Mexico border investigated.

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